I don't understand the significance of choosing an urn, either, unless choosing an urn means he also has to choose a strategy associated with it. After all, WHY would he give up immunity and a sure spot in the final unless he had to if he picked that urn?
Personally, I think he's nuts to voluntarily go into a fire-making competition with a competitor and I only see this ending in disaster. He'll add his name to the list of people who made bone-headed moves that got them out of the game.
Even if he DOES beat Wendell, it's no guarantee that he'll get the votes to win the game.
I'm thinking Wendell will win because Dom rubbed people the wrong way. Both of those guys are great but they wouldn't have made it as far as they did without Laurel. I don't think she deserves to win because of her contribution but she earned her spot in the final three.
I didn't watch this season, and this is the first finale I've watched in years. FIRST OF ALL, why is there an even-numbered jury> SECOND, this turning the third finalist into the deciding vote -- is there any precedent for this? I stopped watching this show a long time ago because it just started feeling like Jeff was making up the rules as he went along and played favorites.